Last weekend’s X1.1 solar flare from sun spot 1890 produced an CME that will make a direct impact on planet Earth. It was thought earlier that the plasma from the flare would miss the Earth but the forecast has been revised.
Coronagraph imagery by LASCO C2/C3 is now available following the X1 solar flare Saturday night. Click HERE for video. Although not exceptionally bright, the expanding shock front does appear to be Earth directed. The latest CME prediction model released by the Goddard Space Flight Center is calling for a direct CME impact by late November 12th. Geomagnetic storming will be possible once the plasma cloud arrives. More updates in the days ahead. Click on the image below to watch the latest model.
Update: As per the latest SWPC update, the observed CME consisted mainly of shock and contained very little ejecta, the bulk of which appeared to be directed south of the ecliptic. Initial indications are that this CME will miss Earth to the south, further analysis and imagery are needed to make a final determination.